Related to Andy’s post yesterday, there is a pretty, ahem, interesting analysis of Georgia’s condition on Ria/Novosti. Russia had warned the Georgian security forces before the assassination attempt, but the country’s authorities have ignored such warnings. And…
…A legitimate question arises, whether decision-makers who pour weapons to Georgia today are aware how fast militarization might affect a country whose security services seem to be not mature enough to protect their own leader and a leader of a friendly state.
The report points at rampant corruption and ongoing militarization before it concludes that Georgia is pretty much on the way to become a failed state…
In other (more upbeat) news, Georgia hands in a draft peace settlement statement to Abkhazia. The break-away province enjoying Russia’s protection (and passports for Abkhaz citizens) refused to participate in such negotiations.
Update: Oneworld comments on this story in much more detail .
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Abhazia will not reunite with Georgia even if Russia wasn’t there. Firstly it fought a 10 year long civil war mostly on it’s own against Georgia for independence. Same with South Ossetia. Both were added to Georgia by stalin to make it larger (map making he enjoyed). Both people have different language and culture and never considered themselves part of Georgia.
Abhazia has either one or two mountain passes to defend ( I dont remember even though I lived close by). South Ossetia is small but the Ossetians number about a million + so that is also a deterent. North and South Ossetia used to be one republic. Another thought is the Armenian minority in the south of the country which numbers a few hundred thousand they however been relatively calm and un pressured by Georgia so far.
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