Tuesday’s Moscow Times has this AP story on the domino effect:
A momentous process is unfolding in Central Asia and the Caucasus, said Yevgeny Volk, Moscow director of the conservative Washington-based Heritage Foundation think tank.
“These countries are facing a radical change of power, which did not happen in the early 1990s,” he said.
“Unlike the Baltic states, which quickly adopted a market economy, democratic society and rule of law, and Russia to a much lesser extent, in Central Asia and the Caucasus, the communist-era leaders stayed in power, which bred corruption and authoritarianism. … But now the time is ripe for revolutions.”
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Yes, there is a clear threat of “domina theory” in Central Asian countries. The question is “who is the next?” The most probable candidate today is Azerbadjan which did allow the tranfer of power from father to son. However, there are other countries on the range of these “revolutionary issues” such as Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan.
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